Product Features
Wind Power Forecast Tools
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Hour-ahead forecast for power
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Day-ahead forecast for power
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Week-ahead forecast for power
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Downloadable forecast data files
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System status tool
Weather Forecast Tools
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Meteograms for air temperature, precipitation, and hub height wind speed
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Downloadable forecast data files
Verification Tools
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Hourly and Daily Time Series Verification
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Hourly Horizon Time Verification
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Wind Error Histogram
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Wind Cumulative Advantage
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Wind Power Curve Verification
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Wind Recent Performance
Rewind Tool
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See how forecasts are evolving over time by comparing the current forecast with previous predictions.
Optional Features
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An Outage Scheduler allows 3TIER to incorporate planned curtailments into the forecast.
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MOS-correction can be applied to improve forecast accuracy and reduce bias when at least one year of historical met tower or power production data is available.
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A Seasonal Wind Power Forecast can be added to your wind forecast, which projects 12 months into the future and is based on 40 years of site-specific climatology and climate index forecasts.
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An Aggregator Tool allows you to view an aggregate forecast of all your wind projects and perform scenario analysis by clicking specific projects and sub-regions 'on or off.'
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An API is also available for faster integration of downloadable forecast data into your internal analysis tools and programming software.
Product Highlights
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Customizable dashboard interface
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Guaranteed 24/7 availability
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Security. Easily set your own permissions system for access to forecast information with usernames and passwords for every forecast tool. In addition, 3TIER provides a secure password protected web host server for all data transfers.
Delivery Method
Forecasting tools are delivered via a client-specific dashboard interface and accompanied by data files available in multiple formats (CSV, XML, XLS).
Methodology
Aligned with 3TIER's belief in using proven, state-of-the-art modeling technologies to solve forecasting problems, our high-resolution forecast system is a combination of advanced statistical algorithms, highly customized mesoscale numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, self-learning artificial intelligence models, and publicly available weather forecasts, including data from the US National Weather Service as well as other global weather forecast centers. Our model also incorporates the climatology and terrain for your project location using diurnal variability averages on a monthly time-scale and can incorporate real-time data from your project and met tower as well as thousands of surface weather stations.
Customer Requirements
In order to provide wind forecasting, 3TIER must be supplied with meta data for your project such as: time zone, project location, hub height, turbine model, naming conventions, and other identifiers for met towers and turbines.
For data integration, the skill of the hour-ahead forecasts greatly depends on the timely receipt of high-quality, real-time observations from the client. While hour-ahead forecasts can be provided without observations, the quality of this forecast is greatly improved with real-time data including: project power output, turbine availability, and near hub height wind conditions from met towers. To facilitate the transfer of real-time data, 3TIER will work with you to set up an automated and robust way of transferring this information.
If you are unfamiliar with the technical terminology on this page, please visit our Glossary for more information.