Product Features
Wind Power Forecast Tools:
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Hour-ahead forecast for power
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Day-ahead forecast for power
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Week-ahead forecast for power
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Downloadable forecast data files
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System status tool
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Recent Performance Tools:
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24 hours
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30 days
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Power curve
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Verification Tools:
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Hour-ahead forecast
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Day-ahead forecast
Weather Forecast Tools:
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Meteograms for air temperature, precipitation, and hub height wind speed
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Downloadable forecast data files
Optional Features
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The interface can include an Outage Scheduler (i.e. available project capacity can be reduced), which allows 3TIER to incorporate planned outages or curtailments into our forecast.
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Where at least one year of historical met tower or power production data is available, MOS-correction can be applied to improve forecast accuracy and reduce bias.
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Seasonal Wind Power Forecast can be added to your wind forecast, which projects 12 months into the future and is based on 40 years of site-specific climatology and climate index forecasts.
Product Highlights
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A powerful yet easy to use dashboard interface for accessing your wind power forecasts at a glance.
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Guaranteed 24/7 availability
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Guaranteed accuracy for the skill of the forecast
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Forecasts for your location update as often as every ten minutes, provide predictions for the next operating hour, and extend 168 hours into the future (1 full week).
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Security. Easily set your own permissions system for access to forecast information with usernames and passwords for every forecast tool. In addition, 3TIER provides a secure password protected web host server for all data transfers.
Delivery Method
Forecasting data tools are made available via a client-specific dashboard interface accompanied by a data file with multiple format options (CSV, XML, XLS).
Methodology
Aligned with 3TIER's belief in using proven, state-of-the-art modeling technologies to solve forecasting problems, our high-resolution forecast system is a combination of advanced statistical algorithms, highly customized mesoscale numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, self-learning artificial intelligence models, and publicly available weather forecasts, including data from the US National Weather Service as well as other global weather forecast centers. Our model incorporates the climatology and terrain for your project location using diurnal variability averages on a monthly time-scale and integrates real-time data from your project and met tower as well as thousands of surface weather stations.
Customer Requirements
In order to provide wind power forecasts, 3TIER must be supplied with meta data for your project such as: time zone, project location, hub height, turbine model, naming conventions, and other identifiers for met towers and turbines.
For data integration, the skill of the hour-ahead forecasts greatly depends on the timely receipt of high-quality, real-time observations from the wind project. While hour-ahead forecasts can be provided without observations, the quality of this forecast is greatly improved with real-time data including: project power output, turbine availability, and near hub height wind conditions from met towers. To facilitate the transfer of real-time data, 3TIER will work with you to set up an automated and robust way of transferring this information.
If you are unfamiliar with the technical terminology on this page, please visit our Glossary for more information.