Primary Uses
- Project feasibility
- Due diligence and project financing
- High-level prospecting
A valuable wind resource not only means strong winds when electricity demand or price is highest, but also a resource that performs at expected levels over the life of the project. Wind Site Climate Variability Analysis (CVA) delivers critical long-term resource data to help increase your confidence in the production potential of a proposed wind site and put available site observations into historical context.
Using proven, state-of-the-art techniques, 3TIER delivers high-resolution information and advanced analysis of both the wind resource and expected power output at any site or met tower location worldwide. 3TIER uses the latest mesoscale NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction) models and a proprietary methodology to give you a long-term perspective on variability for periods of up to 50 years and at horizontal resolutions down to a few meters. Our reports give you a complete picture of the annual, monthly, and hourly variation in wind speed and energy output at your specific location. Time series data files covering the full period of the analysis are also provided to facilitate further analysis.
When on-site observations are available, 3TIER can dramatically reduce error and model bias by integrating these observations using an advanced statistical technique known as MOS (Model Output Statistics). This process provides the most accurate estimates of wind speed and power possible. To demonstrate this, an accompanying validation shows the improved results by comparing the model derived time series and the MOS-corrected time series with the provided period of observations.
| Wind Site CVA | Wind Project Resource Assessment | |
| General Characteristics | ||
| Data covers a point-specific site | X | X |
| Data covers an entire project area | X | |
| Data provided at any custom height between 10 – 200 m | X | X |
| Resolution options from 4.5 km down to 90 m (or finer) | X | X |
| Length of climatology options: 10 - 50 years | X | X |
| Available globally | X | X |
| MOS-correction | Optional | Optional |
| Data Delivered | ||
| Histogram of hourly distribution of simulated wind speed and power capacity | X | X |
| Annual and monthly mean wind and power roses | X | X |
| Annual mean diurnal cycle of wind speed and power | X | X |
| 12x24 tabular formatted data of wind speed values | X | X |
| CSV file of continuous time series for hourly wind speed, wind direction, temperature, and pressure | X | X |
| CSV files of long-term mean wind speed and power capacity for all grid points | X | |
| Exceedance probability table | X | |
| Turbine-by-turbine long-term wind speed and power | X | |
| Map of long-term mean wind speed and power over domain | X | |
| CSV files of continuous time series of the aggregate project-wide wind speeds and power capacities | X | |
| Validation of the NWP and MOS-corrected results in comparison to the provided wind observations, including histograms with Weibull parameters | Optional | Optional |
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The analysis is delivered as a Portable Document File (PDF) report with data files in an easily integrated, comma-separated value (CSV) format.
Wind Site CVA reports are based on the latest science and involve running a mesoscale NWP model for a specific site. 3TIER primarily employs an NWP model called WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting). This model is widely supported and continually enhanced by the global atmospheric science and research community.
For climate variability analysis purposes, the WRF model is run at your selected area to simulate the historic meteorological conditions for a customized period of time, typically 10, 25, or 40 years. WRF can be run at horizontal resolutions from 4.5 km down to 500 meters. 3TIER can also downscale the data to a horizontal resolution of 90 meters or finer using a microscale diagnostic model called TVM.
In order to perform the analysis, the client must select the resolution and length of the climatology as well as provide coordinates of the selected area, met tower location, turbine make, hub height, and power curve. If MOS-correction is to be performed, 3TIER must receive wind measurements from the client.
If you are unfamiliar with the technical terminology on this page, please visit our Glossary for more information.